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Abstract


Causal Relationship between Gold and Stock Prices: Toda-Yamamoto Causality Analysis
Gold is preferred for many reasons such as high convertibility worldwide, being a reliable investment instrument against financial fluctuations and not losing value against inflation. This situation causes the demand for gold to increase day by day. According to World Gold Council data for the year 2019, Turkey is among the countries with the most gold reserves has risen to 18 as well. For this aim, Turkey's causal relationship between stock prices and gold prices, with the monthly data for January 2005 to September 2019, has been tested with Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis. The results of the analysis show that there is a one-way causality relationship from gold prices to stock prices.

Keywords
Gold prices, stock prices, causal relationship, Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis.


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