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Abstract


A Survey on the Social Causes of Rural Migra-tion and Its Effects on Agriculture: A Case of Kirik District, Ispir County of Erzurum
In this study, it was aimed to determine the social causes of heavy and advanced migration occurring in Kırık District, İspir County, and Erzurum Province. For this purpose, the theoretical foundations of the phenomenon of migration, for example in the world and studies related to migration in Turkey and published using data and information about the area, the infrastructure work has been established as a priority. In order to determine the causes and effects of migration in the region, survey results with 91 household heads were used in all 26 villages. In order to determine the causes of migration, the bounded variable regression model with probit method was estimated in the Limdep Program using the data obtained from the survey. In this study, social data, economic and other agricultural data which are effective for migration analysis were taken as a whole and statistical analyses were done in this way. In this study, household data, age, education, social security, health, kinship relations and number, urban and village life data were used as social data. As a result of the statistical analysis, it was revealed that social data is also important for rural migration.

Keywords
Erzurum, Ispir, Kırık, rural migration, limited dependent variable model.


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